The Football Tipster – 2/7/2018

Our football tipster has previewed both of today’s World Cup clashes and attempted to find the value in the markets:

15:00 – Brazil v Mexico

Mexico got off to a flying start, beating Germany and South Korea, before disappointing in their final group game when losing 3-0 to Sweden. It’s possible that they had simply taken their eye off the ball briefly, but this loss meant that they’ll have to play Brazil today rather than a preferable draw against Switzerland – it can be quite difficult to find form in a tournament such as this when momentum is lost.

Brazil have failed to be spectacular so far, drawing 1-1 in their first game against Switzerland before beating both Costa Rica and Serbia 2-0. They’re heavy favourites for tomorrow’s match, but it will be interesting to see whether Mexico can catch them on the break as they did against Germany.

It’s hard to tell whether that performance was as impressive as it first seemed, considering Germany’s subsequent form and shaky defence. My instinct would be not, and they’ll play a defence today which should be tougher to break down that Germany’s proved to be.

This has been the natural end to Mexico’s tournament in the last six World Cups and it seems likely that this will be the case today. However, odds on Brazil to qualify are hardly attractive. Brazil have conceded just twice in their last 10 games, whilst Mexico have failed to score in 4 of their 9 games in 2018. A clean sheet for Brazil wouldn’t be a huge surprise, and 7/5 seems generous.


19:00 – Belgium v Japan

Belgium were arguably the most impressive team in the group stages, albeit in an easy group, and they look to have the easiest knock-out game of the round when they face Japan today.

Before their 1-0 win over England, Belgium had scored at least 3 goals (and won by at least 3 goals) in each of their last 4 matches. As a single bet, Belgium -2 looks like value at 23/10. However, for the double, I’m going to go with Belgium -1.



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