Pertemps Network Final Trends

Past Winners

Year Winner Age Jockey Trainer
2017 Presenting Percy 6 Davy Russell Pat Kelly
2016 Mall Dini 6 Davy Russell Pat Kelly
2015 Call The Cops 6 Andrew Tinkler Nicky Henderson
2014 Fingal Bay 8 Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs
2013 Holywell 6 Richie McLernon Jonjo O’Neill
2012 Cape Tribulation 8 Denis O’Regan Malcolm Jefferson
2011 Buena Vista 10 Conor O’Farrell David Pipe
2010 Buena Vista 9 Hadden Frost David Pipe
2009 Kayf Aramis 7 Aidan Coleman Venetia Williams
2008 Ballyfitz 8 Paddy Brennan Nigel Twiston-Davies

Trends

Key Trends

  1. 5 of the last 10 winners won last time out
    The horses filled 35% of the total places from 22% of the total field.
  2. 9 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 3 on their first ever start in the UK or Ireland
    These horses filled 90% of the total places from 78% of the total field.
  3. 8 of the last 10 winners had had between 6 and 15 previous starts over hurdles
    These horses filled 78% of the total places from 68% of the total field.

Other Trends

  1. 0 of the last 10 winners were aged 5
    This is potentially significant as the poor record of 5yo’s in terms of winning the race goes back a lot further than 10 years. However, their record in the last 10 years isn’t really that poor – they filled 7% of the total places from 7% of the total field.
  2. 8 of the last 10 winners were officially rated 142 or lower
    These horses may have over-performed slightly when it comes to winners (80% of the total winners from 75% of the total fields), but when we factor in placed horses as well, they underperformed (70% of the total places from 75% of the total field).
  3. 10 of the last 10 winners had run in the last 65 days
    These horses filled 78% of the total places from 78% of the total field (although this did include 100% of the winners).
  4. 0 of the last 10 winners were French-bred
    While this might be significant as they took up 18% of the total field but didn’t win the race, they did fill 20% of the total places.

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