Tag Archives: profiles

Stayers Hurdle Profiles

Bacardys

  • Overall Record: 11 runs – 5 wins – 3 places
  • Cheltenham record: 2-0-1
    • 3rd in the Champion Bumper in 2016
    • Pulled up in the Neptune Novices Hurdle in 207
  • It’s hard to see a preference in terms of ground, with wins varying from good to yielding (2-1-1) to heavy (1-1-0).
  • The furthest he has won over is 2m 4f (1-1-0). 1-0-0 over 2m 5f and hasn’t run over further.
  • Patrick Mullins has the best record on him (5-4-1). Ruby Walsh is 3-1-1 and Paul Townend is 3-0-1.
  • He seems to prefer smaller fields – 6-4-1 in fields of 11 or less, 5-1-2 in larger fields.
  • He needs a relatively recent run – 7-4-1 when back out within 60 days of his last start, 3-0-2 after a longer break. He did win on his debut, however.
  • It’s hard to tell whether there is a particular preference in terms of the time of year – he’s just 2-0-1 in November but 3-2-0 in December and 1-1-0 in February. This drops to 2-0-1 in March but picks up to 3-2-1 in April.
  • He may prefer flatter tracks – 6-4-0 on flat tracks, 5-1-3 on more undulating tracks.
  • Summary: Ground not an issue. Not a proven stayer. Likes small fields. Needs a run within the last 60 days. May prefer flatter tracks.

Diakali

  • Overall Record: 13 runs – 6 wins – 2 places
  • Cheltenham record: 2-0-1
    • 4th in the Triumph Hurdle in 2013
    • 4th in the grade 3 2m 1f County Hurdle in 2014
  • Soft ground is the preference – 7-2-1 on good to soft or better, 6-4-1 on yielding to soft or worse, including 4-3-0 on heavy.
  • There’s no reason to think that this would be his trip – 8-6-1 over 2m, 5-0-1 over further.
  • Ruby Walsh has a strong record on him (5-4-0), as does Paul Townend (5-2-1). Danny Mullins placed once (1-0-1), while A P McCoy and David Casey are 1-0-0 each.
  • He may prefer smaller fields (10-6-1 in fields of 7 or less, 3-0-1 in fields of 8 or more).
  • He hasn’t run well when back out very quickly (4-0-1 when back out within 30 days). 8-5-1 after a break of at least 30 days, and he also won on his debut.
  • He seems to begin the season well (this makes sense considering the last stat) with a record of 2-2-0 in November. 3-1-1 from December to February and just 3-0-1 in March, but this picks up to 3-2-0 in April.
  • He seems to prefer right-handed tracks (6-4-0 compared to 7-2-2 going left-handed).
  • He runs well at undulating tracks – 6-2-1 at flatter tracks and those with just slight undulations, compared to 7-4-1 at more undulating tracks.
  • Summary: Soft ground is better. Not a proven stayer. Small fields. At least 30 days off. First half of season. Right-handed, undulating track.

Knight Of Noir

  • Overall Record: 20 runs – 5 wins – 5 places
  • Cheltenham record: 3-0-2
    • 2nd in a class 3 2m 5f handicap hurdle in November 2014
    • 2nd in a class 2 3m handicap hurdle in January 2015
    • 9th in the listed 3m Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle at the 2015 festival
  • It’s difficult to find a preference in terms of ground – 13-3-4 on good to soft or better, 7-2-1 on soft or worse. He has won on ground ranging from good to heavy.
  • The records worth noting are Noel Fehily (5-2-1), A P McCoy (1-1-0) and Tom Scudamore (7-1-3). Nick Scholfield is 4-1-0, Paul Townend 1-0-0 and J A Best 2-0-1.
  • He hasn’t run at this level – 1-0-0 in grade 3 races. His highest win was actually in a class 3, and his record at class 2 or higher is 5-0-1.
  • He has a poor record both when back out within 30 days of his last start (5-0-1) and after a long layoff (3-0-1 after over 120 days off). However, after a break of between 30 and 60 days (he has never run after a break of between 60 and 120 days) his record reads 11-5-2.
  • Place records would suggest that he’s seen to his best at a left-handed track (11-3-4 compared to 9-2-1 going right-handed).
  • Summary: Any ground is fine. 30-60 days off. Unproven at this level.

Lami Serge

  • Overall Record: 19 runs – 6 wins – 7 places
  • Cheltenham record: 4-0-3
    • 4th in the Supreme Novices Hurdle in 2015
    • 3rd in the JLT Novices Chase in 2016
    • 2nd in the grade 2 2m 4½f Relkeel Hurdle in January 2017
    • 2nd in the grade 3 2m 1f County Hurdle at the 2017 festival.
  • Soft ground is a big plus – 10-5-2 on soft or heavy compared to 9-1-5 on good to soft or better. He has won on good, though (3-1-2) so he’s hardly majorly inconvenienced by a sounder surface.
  • Barry Geraghty has a particularly strong record (4-3-0), while the others are Nico De Boinville (3-1-2), Daryl Jacob (11-2-4) and Davy Russell (1-0-1).
  • He may prefer smaller fields (15-6-5 in fields of 11 or less, 4-0-2 in fields of 12 or more).
  • Very strong record when back out quickly (3-3-0 when back out within 15 days of his last start). 15-2-7 after a longer break. He has won after a break of 299 days, and also won on his debut, so going fresh isn’t a major concern either.
  • His record is strongest from November to January (combined record of 11-5-4). This drops to 2-0-0 in February, 3-0-2 in March and a slightly better 3-1-1 in April.
  • He could prefer right-handed tracks (6-3-2 compared to 13-3-5 going left-handed).
  • Summary: Soft ground and a very recent run are both major pluses, but not vital. November to January.

Lieutenant Colonel

  • Overall Record: 24 runs – 6 wins – 3 places
  • Cheltenham record: 3-0-0
    • 6th in the Neptune Novices Hurdle in 2014
    • 10th in the Stayers Hurdle in 2015
    • Pulled up in the Stayers Hurdle in 2016
  • He seems to like some sort of a cut in the ground (just 10-0-2 on good to yielding or better, 14-6-1 on yielding or worse). However, he is just 3-0-1 on heavy ground.
  • The best records are Bryan Cooper (10-4-2), J J King (1-1-0) and B T O’Connell (2-1-0). Less impressive records are those of Davy Russell (3-0-1), David Mullins (3-0-0) and Jack Kennedy (5-0-0).
  • Although he has been unplaced on both starts when back out within 2 weeks of his last start (2-0-0), his overall record when back out within 30 days is still decent (10-4-1). After a longer break he’s 12-1-2.
  • His best record is in the first half of the season – 12-5-2 from October to January, 3-0-1 in February, 3-0-0 in March, 5-1-0 in April and 1-0-0 in May.
  • His wins have generally come at right-handed tracks (16-5-1 compared to 8-1-2 going left-handed) but these are similar place records.
  • Summary: some sort of cut in the ground. Back out within 30 days. October to January. Right-handed tracks.

Lil Rockerfeller

  • Overall Record: 29 starts – 7 wins – 10 places (6 of these starts, 2 of the wins and 1 place were on the flat, so I’m going to focus on his National Hunt record of 23 starts, 5 wins and 9 places).
  • Cheltenham record: 5-0-3
    • 3rd in a class 2 2m½f hurdle in October 2015
    • 2nd in the grade 2 2m 4½f Relkeel Hurdle in January 2016
    • 7th in the Champion Hurdle in 2016
    • 4th in the grade 2 2m 4½f Relkeel Hurdle in January 2017
    • 2nd in the Stayers Hurdle in 2017
  • He probably prefers better ground – 15-4-6 on ground with “good” in the going description, 8-1-2 on anything softer.
  • Trevor Whelan usually rides (19-4-8), while Sean Bowen is the only other jockey to have won on him (1-1-0). Noel Fehily is 1-0-1, while Richard Johnson and Harry Skelton are 1-0-0 each.
  • It’s hard to see very many patterns in his form based on the other variables which we would usually check.
  • Summary: Ground with good in the going description.

Old Guard

  • Overall Record: 28 starts – 9 wins – 5 places (3 runs, 1 win and 2 places were on the flat so I’m focusing on the National Hunt record – 25 runs, 8 wins, 3 places).
  • Cheltenham record: 10-3-1
    • 9th in the Triumph Hurdle in 2015
    • Won a class 3 2m½f handicap hurdle in October 2015
    • Won the grade 3 2m½f Greatwood Handicap Hurdle in November 2015
    • Won the grade 2 2m 1f International Hurdle in December 2015
    • 3rd in the grade 2 2m 1f International Hurdle in December 2016
    • 7th in the grade 2 3m½f Cleeve Hurdle in January 2017
    • 7th in the 2m 5f grade 3 Coral Cup at the 2017 festival
    • 3rd in the grade 3 2m½f Greatwood Handicap Hurdle in November 2017
    • 5th in the grade 2 2m 1f International Hurdle in December 2017
    • 4th in the grade 2 2m 5f Relkeel Hurdle in January 2018
  • He’s 3-0-0 on heavy, but other than that it’s hard to see any strong preference. He can certainly cope with soft (8-2-2) as well as good ground (6-3-0). 8-3-1 on good to soft.
  • Harry Cobden’s 8-4-0 is an impressive record. Bryony Frost is 4-1-1, Nick Scholfield 3-1-0 and Sam Twiston-Davies 10-2-2.
  • He has tended to come up short at this level (4-0-0 in grade one races, 7-2-0 in grade 2 races).
  • He begins the season well (9-5-1 in October/November). This begins to drop (6-2-0 in December, 5-1-0 in January/February, 5-0-1 in March/April).
  • Summary: Possibly doesn’t like heavy ground. Has come up short at this level. First half of the season.

Penhill

  • Overall Record: 27 runs – 11 wins – 3 places (The majority of this form is on the flat, but I’m going to take it into account as his record of 9 runs, 6 wins and 1 place over jumps will be difficult to find patterns in).
  • Cheltenham record: 1-1-0
    • Won the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle in 2017
  • It’s hard to see a preference in terms of ground – 13-4-2 on good (mostly on the flat), 4-3-0 on soft or worse.
  • Just including National Hunt jockeys, Ruby Walsh is 6-3-1 on him and Paul Townend is an impressive 3-3-0.
  • He has finished outside the places on all starts in large fields of 16 runners or more (4-0-0). 23-11-3 in fields of 15 or less, including a particularly impressive 8-6-1 in fields of 7 or less.
  • He has a very strong record when back out quickly – 5-4-0 when back out within 15 days of his last start. However, he has also won after a long break (3-2-0 after over 120 days off the track).
  • He seems to love undulating tracks such as Cheltenham – 7-5-1 at undulating tracks, 20-6-1 on flatter surfaces and those with just slight undulations.
  • Summary: Fields of 15 or less – 7 or less is ideal. Back out quickly or long lay-off. Undulating tracks.

Sam Spinner

  • Overall Record: 9 runs – 6 wins – 3 places
  • He has never run at Cheltenham.
  • He has shown versatility in terms of ground, having won on heavy (1-1-0), soft (3-2-1) and good to soft (5-3-2).
  • J Colliver’s record on him (6-4-2) is almost identical to that of Brian Harding (3-2-1).
  • He may have a preference for smaller fields, with a rock-solid record of 6-5-1 in fields of 11 or less (form of 121111) compared to 3-1-1 in fields of 12 or more (form of 221).
  • One of his defeats came in April (1-0-1) and one came in October (1-0-1). His record between November and February reads 7-6-1.
  • Summary: Smaller fields may be a positive but it’s really hard to knock him on anything.

Supasundae

  • Overall Record: 17 runs – 6 wins – 4 places
  • Cheltenham record: 6th in the Champion Bumper in 2015
    • 7th in the Supreme Novices Hurdle in 2016
    • Won the 2m 5f grade 3 Coral Cup in 2017
  • Soft ground seems to be a plus – 8-4-3 on yielding to soft or worse, 8-2-1on yielding or better. However, 3-1-1 on good suggests that no ground should be of any real worry.
  • The records of Robbie Power (8-3-2), Andrew Tinkler (1-1-0), Barry Geraghty (1-1-0) and J J Burke (4-1-1) are worth noting. Danny Mullins is 1-0-1, while Jamie Codd and Noel Fehily are 1-0-0 each.
  • He seems to run better when back out relatively quickly (10-4-3 when back out within 60 days of his last start compared to 6-1-1 after a longer break). He did win on his debut, however.
  • Summary: Back out within 60 days.

The New One

  • Overall Record: 36 runs – 20 wins – 7 places
  • Cheltenham record: 14-6-3
    • Won a 1m 6½f listed bumper in January 2012
    • 6th in the Champion Bumper in 2012
    • Won a class 2 2m 5f novices hurdle in October 2012
    • 2nd in a grade 2 2m 4½f novices hurdle in January 2013
    • Won the Neptune Novices Hurdle in 2013
    • Won the grade 2 2m 1f International Hurdle in December 2013
    • 3rd in the Champion Hurdle in 2014
    • Won the grade 2 2m 1f International Hurdle in December 2014
    • 5th in the Champion Hurdle in 2015
    • 4th in the Champion Hurdle in 2016
    • Won the grade 2 2m 1f International Hurdle in December 2016
    • 5th in the Champion Hurdle in 2017
    • 4th in the grade 3 2m½f Greatwood Handicap Hurdle in November 2017
    • 2nd in the grade 2 2m 1f International Hurdle in December 2017
  • Completely versatile in terms of ground, from 10-5-2 on good to 4-3-1 on heavy.
  • Sam Twiston-Davies usually rides, and has a record of 32-18-6 on him. Z Baker is 1-1-0, Noel Fehily is 1-0-1 and Richard Johnson is 2-1-0.
  • His record after a lay-off is worth noting – 6-6-0 after over 120 days off the track. He also won on his debut.
  • He starts the season particularly well (9-8-0 in October/November). This drops to 8-3-4 in December but he’s a very strong 7-6-1 in January. This drops again in March (6-1-1) and April (6-2-1).
  • Summary: Long lay-off beneficial. Start of the season.

The Worlds End

  • Overall Record: 10 runs – 5 wins – 1 place
  • Cheltenham record: 2-0-0
    • Fell in the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle in 2017
    • 4th in the grade 2 3m½f Cleeve Hurdle in January 2018
  • He’s 2-0-0 on heavy ground but 3-2-1 on soft and 5-3-0 on good to soft or better.
  • Paddy Brennan and Wayne Hutchinson are both 1-1-0, while Adrian Heskin has rode him on all of his other starts (8-3-1).
  • It’s hard to see any real trends based on the other variables which we’d normally check.
  • Summary: Might not like heavy ground.

Unowhatimeanharry

  • Overall Record: 26 runs – 11 wins – 10 places
  • Cheltenham record: 5-4-1
    • Won a class 3 2m 5f handicap hurdle in November 2015
    • Won a grade 2 3m novices hurdle in December 2015
    • Won the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle in March 2016
    • Won the grade 2 3m½f Cleeve Hurdle in January 2017
    • 3rd in the Stayers Hurdle in 2017
  • 14-7-5 on soft or worse is slightly better than 12-5-4 on good to soft or better. However, if we exclude his record on heavy and look at just his record on soft, it reads 8-6-2. It’s possible that he likes a cut in the ground but doesn’t necessarily like very testing conditions. Having said that, he has won on ground ranging from good (5-1-3) to heavy (6-1-3).
  • The strongest records are those of Noel Fehily (6-5-1), Barry Geraghty (6-4-2) and Liam McKenna (1-1-0). The others are Chris Davies (3-1-1), Paul Moloney (7-0-4) and C V Ring (3-0-2).
  • His record since moving to the yard of Harry Fry is extremely consistent (13-10-3).
  • He may be better after a break (8-4-3 after at least 60 days off compared to 17-6-7 when back out within 60 days of his last start). He also won on his debut.
  • Summary: Soft ground ideal (just soft, not heavy). 60 or more days off ideal.

Wholestone

  • Overall Record: 14 runs – 6 wins – 6 places
  • Cheltenham record: 7-4-3
    • Won a class 3 3m novices hurdle in October 2016
    • 2nd in a grade 2 2m 5½f novices hurdle in November 2016
    • Won a grade 2 3m½f novices hurdle in December 2016
    • Won a grade 2 2m 4½f novices hurdle in January 2017
    • 3rd in the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle in 2017
    • Won the grade 2 2m 5f Relkeel Hurdle in January 2018
    • 2nd in the grade 2 3m½f Cleeve Hurdle in January 2018
  • His record on good ground is very strong (5-3-2). 9-3-4 on softer, though, including 2-1-1 on heavy, so no ground should be a major issue.
  • Daryl Jacob normally rides (13-5-6). Sam Twiston-Davies is 1-1-0.
  • All of his wins have come in smaller fields (11-6-3). 3-0-3 in fields of 12 or more.
  • Summary: 11 runners or less is a plus.

Yanworth

  • Overall Record: 18 runs – 12 wins – 3 places
  • Cheltenham record: 5-2-1
    • 4th in the Champion Bumper in 2015
    • Won a grade 2 novices hurdle over 2m 4½f in January 2016
    • 2nd in the Neptune Novices Hurdle in 2016
    • 7th in the Champion Hurdle in 2017
    • Won a grade 2 2m 5f novices chase in January
  • He has an extremely strong record on softer ground (7-6-1 on soft or heavy compared to 11-6-2 on good to soft or better).
  • Barry Geraghty has a fantastic record on him (13-10-2). AP McCoy (3-1-1) and Gerard Tumelty (1-1-0) have also won on him, while Mark Walsh (1-0-0) hasn’t been as lucky.
  • He’s probably better after a break – 4-4-0 after over 120 days off the track (he also won on his debut when fresh). His record after between 30 and 90 days off is similarly strong (6-4-1) but the majority of his defeats have come when back out within 30 days of his last start (7-3-2).
  • March is probably his worst month (3-0-1, all at the Cheltenham festival). This picks up in April (1-1-0) and May (1-1-0). He begins the season well (combined record of 6-5-0 in October and November). He has lost twice in December (4-2-2) but has a strong record in January and February (combined record of 3-3-0).
  • He may have a preference for right-handed tracks, although not a major one (9-7-1 compared to 9-5-2 going left-handed).
  • He probably likes flatter tracks (2-2-0 on flat tracks and 8-6-2 on tracks with slight undulations compared to 8-4-1 on more undulating tracks).
  • Summary: Soft ground is ideal. At least 30 days off, 120 days ideal. Might like right-handed tracks, flat tracks.

Augusta Kate

  • Overall Record: 13 runs – 5 wins – 2 places
  • Cheltenham record: 2-0-0
    • 7th in the Champion Bumper in 2016
    • 6th in the Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle in 2017
  • She’s 2-0-0 on proper good ground but 3-2-0 on good to yielding. 8-3-2 on yielding or worse.
  • Patrick Mullins has the strongest record (3-3-0). David Mullins is 3-1-1, Ruby Walsh is 4-1-1, Paul Townend is 2-0-0 and Danny Mullins is 1-0-0.
  • Her record is stronger in larger fields (7-4-1 in fields of 8 or more, 6-1-1 in fields of 7 or less).
  • She seems to begin the season well (3-3-0 from September to November) and finish it well (4-2-1 in April) but she’s just 6-0-1 from January to March, including 2-0-0 in March itself.
  • Summary: Might not like real good ground. At least 8 runners. First half of the season.

Colins Sister

  • Overall Record: 14 runs – 5 wins – 3 places
  • Cheltenham record: 4-0-2
    • 4th in a class 3 2m½f bumper in October 2015
    • 5th in a listed 2m½f bumper in November 2015
    • 3rd in the grade 2 2m 5f Relkeel Hurdle in January 2018
    • 3rd in the grade 2 3m½f Cleeve Hurdle in January 2018
  • Her best record is on soft ground (6-4-1). 3-0-2 on heavy isn’t bad, making her overall record on soft or worse 7-4-2. In comparison, she’s just 5-1-0 on good to soft or better.
  • Paddy Brennan is usually on board (10-5-2). C P Shoemark is the only other jockey to have rode her, with a record of 4-0-1.
  • 3 of her wins have come in fields of 7 runners or less (5-3-0). She’s 9-2-3 in bigger fields.
  • 4-0-1 when back out within 30 days of her last start so this is probably a negative. 9-5-2 after a longer break.
  • She hasn’t tended to be as effective at the end of the season (3-0-1 from March to May). 5-3-0 in October/November, 6-2-2 from December to February.
  • 4 of her wins have come at left-handed tracks (10-4-2, compared to 4-1-1 going right-handed).
  • Summary: Soft ground or worse. At least 30 days off. End of season not ideal.

Jers Girl

  • Overall Record: 15 runs – 5 wins – 4 places (3 runs, 1 win and 1 place were on the flat, so I’m going to focus on her 12 runs, 4 wins and 3 places in National Hunt races).
  • Cheltenham record: 1-0-0
    • Fell in the Mares Hurdle at the 2017 festival
  • It’s hard to see a strong preference in terms of ground. She has won on yielding (3-2-0) but is 2-0-1 on good to soft and 1-0-0 on good to yielding. Her record on soft or worse is strong (9-3-3).
  • A number of jockeys have rode her in the past. Richard Johnson, J A Heffernan and G N Fox are all 1-1-0. Robbie Power and R P Cleary are both 2-0-1, Mark Walsh in 1-0-0 and Barry Geraghty is 7-2-2.
  • She hasn’t been successful in very small fields – 5-0-2 in fields of 7 or less. 10-5-2 in fields of 8 or more.
  • She has a preference for right-handed tracks (7-4-3 compared to 8-1-1 going left-handed).
  • Summary: At least 8 runners. Right-handed track.

La Bague Au Roi

  • Overall Record: 13 runs – 10 wins – 0 places
  • Cheltenham record: 1-0-0
    • 7th in the Mares Novices Hurdle at the 2017 festival
  • Her defeats have come on good (6-4-0) and on soft (3-2-0) so it’s hard to see where the preference lies. 4-4-0 on good to soft ground.
  • All 3 defeats have come with Gavin Sheehan on board (6-3-0). Richard Johnson is 3-3-0, H A A Bannister is 3-3-0 and Noel Fehily is 1-1-0.
  • All 3 defeats have come in grade one (1-0-0) and grade two (3-1-0) races. 4-4-0 in listed races and 5-5-0 in class 4 or lower.
  • She’s 9-9-0 in fields of 11 or less, and just 4-1-0 in fields of 12 or more.
  • 2 of her 3 defeats came after a break – she’s 5-3-0 after over 90 days off the track, compared to 7-6-0 after a shorter break.
  • Her defeats have all come in the spring – 8-8-0 from October to January, but just 5-2-0 in March and April.
  • All 3 defeats have come at left-handed tracks (9-6-0, she’s 4-4-0 going right-handed).
  • Summary: Hard to tell if these are real negatives or not, but possible negatives would be: Gavin Sheehan, grade one/two, 12 or more runners, over 90 days off, spring, left-handed.

Lets Dance

  • Overall Record: 14 runs – 6 wins – 4 places
  • Cheltenham record: 2-1-0
    • 4th in the Triumph Hurdle in 2016
    • Won the Mares Novices Hurdle at the 2017 festival
  • Her wins were on ground ranging from good (3-2-0) to soft (2-2-0). 5-2-2 on anything between those two, and 4-0-2 on ground worse than soft.
  • Ruby Walsh has rode her more than any other jockey (10-4-4-). Danny Mullins is 1-1-0 and Paul Townend is 3-1-0.
  • She has come up short in grade one races (5-0-3) but is 3-2-0 in grade two contests and 2-2-0 in grade three races.
  • She seems to prefer left-handed tracks (7-4-2 compared to 7-2-2 going right-handed).
  • Summary: Probably doesn’t want it worse than soft. Has come up short in grade one company. Left-handed.

 

Champion Chase Profiles

Altior

  • Overall Record: 15 runs – 13 wins – 1 place
  • Cheltenham record: 3-3-0
    • Won a grade 2 2m½f Supreme Novices Hurdle Trial in November 2015
    • Won the Supreme Novices Hurdle in 2016
    • Won the Arkle in 2017
  • He has proven himself to be effective on any going description, from 5-5-0 on good, to 4-3-1 on soft.
  • Nico De Boinville has a perfect record on him (10-10-0), as does Noel Fehily (3-3-0). Barry Geraghty (1-0-1) and Katie Harrington (1-0-0) were beaten on him in his bumper days.
  • He is unbeaten in fields of 7 or less (8-8-0).
  • He’s unbeaten when back out within 60 days of his last start (8-8-0).
  • Really, the main thing to take from this profile is that he is proven at the track, versatile in terms of ground, and unbeaten in his last 12 starts, including 5-5-0 over hurdles and 7-7-0 over fences.

Charbel

  • Overall Record: 15 runs – 5 wins – 2 places
  • Cheltenham record: 2-0-0
    • 5th in the Supreme Novices Hurdle in 2016
    • Fell in the Arkle Chase in 2017
  • Seems to prefer softer ground – 5-3-1 on soft or worse, compared to 10-2-1 on good to soft or better.
  • Patrick Mullins has a 100% record on him (2-2-0), while D R Bass has also done well on him (11-3-2). The only other jockeys to have rode him are Noel Fehily (1-0-0) and K E Power (1-0-0).
  • He has tended to come up short in grade 1’s (7-0-0). 2-0-1 in grade 2’s and 1-1-0 in listed races.
  • His record isn’t particularly strong in small fields (8-2-1 in fields of 7 or less). However, he has finished outside the places on both starts in fields of 12 or more (2-0-0). 5-3-1 in fields of between 8 and 11 runners.
  • He seems to run well fresh – 3-2-0 after over 120 days off the track, and he also won on his first start of his career. 11-2-2 after a shorter break.
  • He starts the season well (2-2-0 in October). This makes sense considering his strong record after a long break. It does drop to 5-0-2 in November/December but his record in February is strong (2-2-0). 3-1-0 in March and 3-0-0 in April.
  • A slight preference for left-handed tracks is possible (7-3-1 with form of 11251F3 compared to 8-2-1 with form of 14215244 going right-handed).
  • He has a strong record on flat tracks (4-3-0). 6-1-2 on tracks with slight undulations and 5-1-0 on more undulating tracks.

Douvan

  • Overall Record: 14 runs – 13 wins – 0 places
  • Cheltenham record: 3-2-0
    • Won the Supreme Novices Hurdle in 2015
    • Won the Arkle Chase in 2016
    • 7th in the Champion Chase in 2017
  • He has won two grade ones at the festival. However, it could be suggested that Douvan doesn’t run as well here as elsewhere. If we look at his novice hurdling season, Douvan beat Sizing John by 12 lengths at Gowran before beating him by just 7 lengths in the Supreme, then by just over 7 lengths at Punchestown. In his novice chasing season, he beat Sizing John by 18 lengths at Leopardstown, then by 7 lengths in the Arkle, then by 22 lengths at Punchestown. If we use Sizing John as a yardstick, we see him getting closer than ever to Douvan on the two occasions that they ran at Cheltenham. Of course, Sizing John’s subsequent Gold Cup win suggests that the reason for this could just be that he runs very well at Cheltenham.
  • He is proven on all types of ground, from good to soft (4-3-0) to heavy (2-2-0).
  • 3 jockeys have taken the reins – Patrick Mullins (1-1-0), Paul Townend (3-3-0) and Ruby Walsh (10-9-0).
  • There is no real point in going through his whole profile as he has won on almost all of his starts.

Gods Own

  • Overall Record: 31 runs – 7 wins – 8 places
  • Cheltenham record: 4-0-1
    • 14th in a class 3 2m 5f handicap hurdle in November 2013
    • 2nd in the Arkle in 2015
    • 4th in the Champion Chase in 2016
    • 5th in the Champion Chase in 2017
  • It could be the case that moderate ground is key – 15-5-4 on good to yielding and good to soft. 8-1-2 on soft ground and 8-1-2 on good ground, so something in the middle may be best.
  • Paddy Brennan has rode him on the majority of his starts (22-6-5). Adrian Heskin has been less successful on his 7 rides (7-0-2), while Barry Geraghty (1-1-0) and Aodhaghan Conlon (1-0-0) each rode him once.
  • He is a proven grade one horse with 3 wins at this level (12-3-3).
  • Win records may suggest a slight preference for smaller fields (25-6-6 in fields of 11 or less, 6-1-2 in fields of 12 or more). However, win/place strike rates are almost identical.
  • Winless when back out within 2 weeks of his last start (3-0-0). Howver, being back out relatively quickly seems to be a plus – 20-5-7 when back out within 90 days of his last start compared to 7-1-1 after a longer break.
  • Despite good records in November (7-3-1) and February (3-1-1), his overall record from October to March (24-4-6) isn’t as strong as at the end of the season (7-3-2 in April/May). 4-0-1 in March.
  • He probably runs better at right-handed tracks (18-5-4 compared to 13-2-4 going left-handed).
  • His record at very undulating tracks such as Cheltenham isn’t great (7-1-1) compared to flat tracks and those with less extreme undulations (24-6-7).

Min

  • Overall Record: 8 runs – 6 wins – 2 places
  • Cheltenham record: 1-0-1
    • 2nd in the Supreme Novices Hurdle in 2016
  • He has actually been beaten twice on better ground (3-1-2 on good to soft or yielding). 5-5-0 on yielding to soft or worse, including 2-2-0 on heavy. I’m not sure that better ground is actually an inconvenience, but he clearly handles difficult conditions.
  • Ruby Walsh usually rides (5-4-1). Paul Townend (2-1-1) and David Mullins (1-1-0) have also been on board in the past.
  • Both of his losses were in grade one contests (3-1-2). 2-2-0 in grade two races.
  • Both losses came at left-handed tracks (5-3-2). 3-3-0 going right-handed.
  • It’s dangerous to go through as horse’s form and find reasons for losses when there are only two of them – in this case, he ran a very good race in the Supreme to finish 2nd behind Altior, who went on to prove himself to be a fantastic horse. He was also beaten at Leopardstown over Christmas despite passing the post first – this could be down to the bounce factor or race tactics, but he certainly wasn’t himself that day.

Politologue

  • Overall Record: 14 starts – 7 wins – 1 place
  • Cheltenham Record: 3-0-0
    Unseated in a 2m 1f class 3 novices hurdle here in December 2015
    20th in the Coral Cup in 2016
    4th in the JLT in 2017
  • Wants some sort of cut in the ground – 3-0-0 on good ground, 3-3-0 on good to soft and 8-4-1 on worse.
  • Sam Twiston-Davies normally rides (12-5-1) but Harry Cobden has been on board twice (2-2-0).
  • Probably prefers a smaller field (10-6-1 in fields of 7 or less, 4-1-0 in fields of 8 or more).
  • Starts the season well (2-2-0 November, 5-3-0 December, 1-0-1 January, 3-2-0 February) before this drops (3-0-0 in March and April).
  • Strong preference for right-handed tracks (6-6-0 compared to 8-1-1 going left-handed).
  • Possible preference for flat tracks (5-3-1 compared to 9-4-0 on tracks with more undulations).

Special Tiara

  • Overall Record: 32 runs – 7 wins – 9 places
  • Cheltenham record: 8-1-3
    • 3rd in the listed 2m Shloer Chase in November 2013
    • 6th in the Champion Chase in 2014
    • 3rd in the Champion Chase in 2015
    • 3rd in the Champion Chase in 2016
    • 3rd in the grade 2 2m Shloer Chase in November 2016
    • 5th in the grade 1 2m½f Clarence House Chase in January 2017
    • Won the Champion Chase in 2017
    • 3rd in the grade 2 2m Shloer Chase in November 2017
  • He probably prefers decent ground (18-5-5 on good to soft or better, 14-2-4 on yielding to soft or worse). However, he is 3-0-2 on heavy, so has shown some versatility in this regard.
  • A large number of jockeys have been on board throughout his career – Noel Fehily (13-3-4), Phillip Enrihgt (5-2-3), Barry Geraghty (2-1-0) and Bryan Cooper (2-1-0) are the only winners. The others were A E Lynch (4-0-1), Davy Russell (2-0-0), D P McDonagh (1-0-1), and Andrew McNamara, Robbie Power and Brian Hayes (1-0-0 each).
  • He has been successful in grade one company (including this race last year). 12-3-4 at this level.
  • He may prefer larger fields (4-2-2 in fields of 12 or more).
  • He seems to run well when back out relatively quickly (20-6-4 when back out within 60 days of his last start, 11-1-4 after a longer break).
  • 7-0-2 in October/November but 4-2-1 in December. 3-0-0 in January/February but 5-1-2 in March and 6-2-1 in April. 4-1-3 from May to July. 2-0-0 in August, 1-1-0 in September.
  • He has a slightly better record going right-handed (16-5-4 compared to 16-2-5 going left-handed).
  • The majority of his wins have come on flat tracks (11-4-2). 21-3-7 on more undulating tracks (a fairly similar place record).