Triumph Hurdle Trends

Past Winners

Year Winner Jockey Trainer
2017 Defi du Seuil Richard Johnson Philip Hobbs
2016 Ivanovich Gorbatov Barry Geraghty Aidan O’Brien
2015 Peace And Co Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson
2014 Tiger Roll Davy Russell Gordon Elliott
2013 Our Conor Bryan Cooper Dessie Hughes
2012 Countrywide Flame Dougie Costello John Quinn
2011 Zarkandar Daryl Jacob Paul Nicholls
2010 Soldatino Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson
2009 Zaynar Barry Geraghty Nicky Henderson
2008 Celestial Halo Ruby Walsh Paul Nicholls

Key Trends

  1. 9 of the last 10 winners had their final prep run between 19 and 50 days before the race.
    In the last 10 years, these horses have filled 87% of the total places from 79% of the total field.
    This trend has become stronger in the last 5 years, with these horses filling 93% of the total places from 83% of the total field, and these horses accounting for all of the last 5 winners.
  2. 9 of the last 10 winners were either Irish-bred (5 of the last 10) or French-bred (4 of the last 10).
    Both of these groups of horses over-performed in the last 10 years. The combined record over the last decade is 93% of the total places from 73% of the total field.
    If we focus on the last 4 renewals, these horses filled 100% of the total places on offer from 79% of the total field.
  3. 8 of the last 10 winners were officially rated 139 or higher.
    There is a very large over-performance from these horses – in the last 10 years, they filled 80% of the total places from 49% of the total field.
    In the last 5 years, they filled slightly more of the total field (55%) but still filled 80% of the total places.
  4. 6 of the last 10 winners won last time out.
    While 6 of the last 10 may not seem like a lot, these horses accounted for less than half of the total field (46%) but filled over two-thirds of the total places (67%).
    In the last 5 years, the strength of this trend has remained – 3 of the last 5 winners fit the trend, with last time out winners filling 67% of the total places from 47% of the total field.
  5. 9 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 3 last time out.
    In the last 10 years, these horses filled the majority of the total field (78%) but accounted for almost all of the horses to make the frame in the race (97%).
    In the last 5 years, these horses accounted for 93% of the total places from 83% of the total field. The exception was 2016 winner Ivanovich Gorbatov for Joseph O’Brien, who finished 4th at Leopardstown on his last start before the Triumph.
  6. 5 of the last 10 winners had won at least twice over hurdles in the UK or Ireland.
    Again, 5 out of 10 may not seem like a particularly strong trend. However, these horses over-performed significantly – in the last 10 years, they filled 67% of the total places from 47% of the total field.
    In the last 5 years, they filled 67% of the total places from 45% of the total field, and they accounted for 3 of the last 5 winners.
  7. 10 of the last 10 winners had won that season.
    Not very many come into this race without having won that season, but those that do tend to come up short. In the last 10 years, horses with a win under their belt that season filled 97% of the total places from 84% of the total field.
    In the last 5 years, these horses have accounted for 100% of the total places from 85% of the total field.

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