10 of the last 10 winners (and 19 of the last 20, the last 19) were aged between 7 and 10.
There have only 3 exceptions to this one in 43 races, the most recent with an 11yo winning in 1997. In the last 20 years, 7-10 year-olds have made up 80% of the total field, but 95% of the winners and 92% of the total places on offer. This is a necessity. In recent years, this trend has probably shifted away from the 10yo’s, with 9 of the last 10 winners (including the last 7) aged 7-9.
In the last 10 years, 7-9yo’s have taken up 79% of the total places (and 90% of the winners) from 69% of the total field.
9 of the last 10 winners were either novices or second-season chasers.
The exception, The Druids Nephew, was a third-season chaser when he won in 2013. It may be worth noting that all three novices to win (Wichita Lineman in 2009, Holywell in 2014 and Un Temps Pour Tout on his first time winning the race in 2016) all had good form over hurdles, having won a hurdles race worth 10k or more.
9 of the last 10 winners had finished in the top 2 that season
8 of the last 10 winners had won over 3m or further.
One exception was Un Temps Pour Tout in 2016, and the other was 2011 winner Bensalem, who had finished 2nd 3 times from 5 starts over 3m or further.
8 of the last 10 winners had previously had 9 or less starts over fences.
These horses filled 67% of the total places on offer (including 80% of the winners) from just 48% of the total field.
8 of the last 10 winners had run between 2 and 4 times that season.
These horses filled 72% of the places on offer in the last 10 years from just 60% of the total field.
7 of the last 10 winners had previously won a class 3 chase or better but had not won a graded chase.
The exceptions were Holywell in 2014, whose two chase wins had come in class 4’s, Un Temps Pour Tout in 2016, who was yet to win a chase, and the same horse the next year, who had won a graded chase (this race the previous year).
10 of the last 10 winners had previously posted an RPR of 143 or higher
10 of the last 10 winners posted their career-high RPR over 3 miles or further